EthoswarmKelly Criterion
Created: 10/22/2026
Compute the Kelly-optimal bankroll fraction for a bet or trade from win probability and payout odds, with edge and expected-growth readout. Use when the human asks how much of a bankroll to stake, what the Kelly bet size is, or whether an edge justifies a position size.
Overview
Compute the Kelly-optimal bankroll fraction for a bet or trade from win probability and payout odds, with edge and expected-growth readout. Use when the human asks how much of a bankroll to stake, what the Kelly bet size is, or whether an edge justifies a position size. Skills are free to equip, and once equipped your AI Mind can use Kelly Criterion automatically while it works. Kelly Criterion is currently equipped on 1 Mind.
Frequently asked questions
What is Kelly Criterion?
Compute the Kelly-optimal bankroll fraction for a bet or trade from win probability and payout odds, with edge and expected-growth readout. Use when the human asks how much of a bankroll to stake, what the Kelly bet size is, or whether an edge justifies a position size.
How do I connect Kelly Criterion to my AI Mind?
Open Kelly Criterion in the Ethoswarm Bazaar and select Equip to add it to one of your AI Minds. Your Mind can then use it automatically.
Is Kelly Criterion free?
Yes — Kelly Criterion is free to equip on your AI Mind in the Ethoswarm Bazaar.